Agricultural Energy Modeling for Policy Purposes

an investigation about the appropriate stochastic modeling framework for agricultural insurance pricing

با توجه به اینکه بیمه محصولات کشاورزی در ایران بیشتر جنبه ای حمایتی دارد و خسارات گزارش شده عموما بیش از حق بیمه های دریافت شده است، در این پایان نامه به جهت تعیین قیمت بیمه محصولات کشاورزی (گندم دیم) از فرآیندهای نوفه شلیک به عنوان مدلی مناسب استفاده شده است. بر اساس داده های صندوق بیمه کشاورزی از خسارات اعلام شده در سال زراعی 1388-1389 گندم دیم، در این پایان نامه حق بیمه خالص و ناخالص این محص...

Energy Modeling for Policy Studies

Modeling Policy and Agricultural Decisions in Afghanistan

Afghanistan is responsible for the majority of the world’s supply of poppy crops, which are often used to produce illegal narcotics like heroin. This paper presents an agent-based model that simulates policy scenarios to characterize how the production of poppy can be dampened and replaced with licit crops over time. The model is initialized with spatial data, including transportation network a...

Policy Options for Integrated Energy and Agricultural Markets*

I the past, agricultural markets have been well integrated. Markets for different energy commodities, especially liquid energy products, also have been tightly linked. But agricultural markets and energy markets have not been closely correlated. Table 1 contains partial correlation coefficients between pairwise prices (both levels and first differences) of corn, soybeans, crude oil, gasoline, a...

Policy Modeling for Industrial Energy Use

Historically most energy models were reasonably equipped to assess the impact of a subsidy or change in taxation. However, these tools are insufficient to assess the impact of more innovative policy instruments. In this paper we evaluate the models used to assess future industrial energy use. We explore approaches to engineering-economic analysis that could help improve the realism and policy r...